Walking the floor of the Diving Equipment and
Marketing Association’s annual show, held last November
in Orlando, I was struck by an interesting contradiction.
On one hand, there seems to be increasing growth in the
things that cost divers the most money: technical diving,
photography and travel. On the other hand, the number of
new divers entering the sport, at least in this country, has
been declining for years.
As one walked the corridors, technical diving leaped
out: rebreathers, yokes for doubles, new wrecks being sunk,
advanced training, BCDs that look like military gear. This
is not cheap stuff.
Then comes an array of photography, video housing,
lights, not to mention digital cameras, that would baffle
Jacques Cousteau.
And of course there’s dive travel. Where not so long ago
the booths were dominated by Caribbean venues, it seems
today that every island in Indonesia is hosting a luxury
lodge. But the prices in that part of the world, once a great
bargain, reflect the slide of the dollar and the belief that
divers can pay far more than honeymooners. To get there,
you give up half a week traveling in both directions, not
something the average Joe can readily do.
It seems we’ve reached the age of the $1,000 regulator,
the near $1,000 BC, and $300 fins, masks and drysuits.
No wonder the young prefer mountain bikes and extreme
sports that don’t cost much. Years ago, DEMA and the
agencies decided to stop pushing diving as extreme, so it
became a safe, family sport. Now it’s an expensive sport,
beyond the pocketbooks of many.
DEMA tries to put a positive spin on the decline in
certifications, announcing that entry-level scuba certifications
in the U.S. remained “stable” from 2005 to 2006.
According to its census figures, the 2006 number of
162,605 declined by just 124 “certs” from 162,729 in 2005.
The so-called stable numbers are a small consolation, considering
the significant decline of entry-level certification
since 2000. Totals peaked at 198,241 in 2001, dropped to
183,934 the next year, declined further to 173,225 and are
obviously continuing the downward trend. With fewer
young people getting certified, the diving population is
aging. But of course. They’re the only people with the time
and money to go diving.
As we reported in our “How Many Divers Are There?”
articles, published in the May and June 2007 issues,
DEMA’s census numbers may not be accurate. The training
agencies are suspicious of each other and secretive
about their membership numbers. NAUI, which supplied
data for every census until the current one, apparently
bailed out for political reasons. And the agencies themselves
question the numbers and how they’re calculated.
If you’re employed in the industry, this lack of growth
may seem troubling. However, if you’re just a sport diver
out for the best dives, you might not mind having fewer
divers hovering over the reef next time you get wet.
But let’s think about China. PADI has 18 training centers
there. Compared to the population in the U.S., China
could eventually support about 5,000. Good for business,
bad for the reefs. Go see the critters while you can.
-- Ben Davison